Is America Facing Stagflation?
May 25, 2021
Hosted by Jay Taylor
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Guest Information
Episode Description
Lyn Alden and Michael Oliver return. Michael sees a layered but significant equity bear market. In the near term, US Treasuries and gold will benefit. But as deficits surge, inflation rises forcing the Fed to fund nearly all of the Treasury needs. Confidence will be lost in the Fed and Treasuries will join equities and other asset classes into a bear market. Michael sees prospects for a 1970s-style stagflation when double-digit inflation was joined by very high unemployment rates. Lyn just wrote a paper titled "The Ultimate Guide to Inflation" in which she describes various forms of inflation. What does she think of Michael's stagflation view or Alasdair Macleod’s view of a parallel between the Mississippi Bubble disaster and the Fed's need to print money to buy Treasuries in order to maintain a false sense of Treasury market value? If she agrees with neither view, what does she think is the most likely scenario we face in this increasingly unstable market environment? As usual, Michael will also give us an update on what his Momentum Structural Analysis is telling him about the markets.
Turning Hard Times into Good Times
Tuesday at 12 Noon Pacific Time on VoiceAmerica Business Channel
Jay Taylor’s show will explain the real underlying causes for plunging stock prices, plunging home prices and growing unemployment. By correctly diagnosing the cause of America’s economic decline, rather than listening to excuses from Wall Street and Washington, Jay will offer winning investment ideas to protect and increase wealth.
Topics to be discussed will include the cause of the decline of: our monetary system and our economy, the housing markets, the equity markets, and commodities, Why gold and silver are rising in value and how investors can profit from the direction of these markets through specific stocks, ETF’s and precious metals will also be discussed. Turning Hard Times into Good Times is broadcast live every Tuesday at 12 Noon Pacific Time on the VoiceAmerica Business Channel.
Jay Taylor
Jay Taylor has been able to more than double his newsletter’s model portfolio from 2000 to the present even as the S&P 500 was in the process of losing 50% of its value!
The insights provided to Jay came from a history professor in 1967 who advised Jay that when countries go off a gold or silver standard, hard economic times are sure to follow because nations begin to think they do not need to work hard and save to enjoy a better life. Indeed there is no free lunch and a gold standard reminds people of that every day.
Jay watched his professor’s prophetic words come true when in 1971, President Nixon completely detached the dollar from gold. Not surprising to Jay, the price of gold skyrocketed in the late 1970s as inflation wiped out vast amounts of wealth from average Americans. To protect his own wealth Jay began to invest in gold and gold mining shares and in 1981 he began sharing his success and insights in his newsletter. In 1981 Jay began writing a subscription newsletter that has earned his subscribers countless thousands of dollars over the years.
Jay’s insights as to the real cause of our problems has enabled him to find investment strategies that work. Diagnose a problem correctly and you have a chance for success. Diagnose a problem incorrectly as the establishment does and you are sure to fail.